Oppenheimer Has Lowered Expectations for Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Stock Price

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) had its price target cut by equities researchers at Oppenheimer from $12.00 to $11.00 in a research note issued to investors on Thursday,Benzinga reports. The firm currently has an “outperform” rating on the stock. Oppenheimer’s target price would suggest a potential upside of 87.55% from the stock’s previous close.

Other equities analysts have also issued reports about the stock. UBS Group reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Wednesday. Truist Financial reduced their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $15.00 to $13.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Wednesday. BTIG Research lowered their price objective on Genius Sports from $16.00 to $11.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday. Zacks Research raised Genius Sports from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, December 4th. Finally, Weiss Ratings restated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Monday, December 29th. Three analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $12.95.

Genius Sports Stock Down 2.9%

Shares of GENI traded down $0.18 during midday trading on Thursday, reaching $5.87. The company had a trading volume of 5,741,974 shares, compared to its average volume of 6,685,248. Genius Sports has a 1-year low of $5.60 and a 1-year high of $13.73. The firm has a 50 day simple moving average of $8.46 and a 200-day simple moving average of $10.46. The stock has a market cap of $1.26 billion, a PE ratio of -12.46 and a beta of 1.91.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) last announced its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, March 4th. The company reported ($0.08) earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.02 by ($0.10). Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 19.71% and a negative return on equity of 14.39%. The firm had revenue of $240.50 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $234.94 million. During the same period in the previous year, the firm posted ($0.12) EPS. The company’s revenue was up 37.0% compared to the same quarter last year. As a group, sell-side analysts anticipate that Genius Sports will post -0.1 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Genius Sports

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the company. New York State Common Retirement Fund boosted its stake in Genius Sports by 395.5% in the third quarter. New York State Common Retirement Fund now owns 979,000 shares of the company’s stock valued at $12,120,000 after acquiring an additional 781,411 shares in the last quarter. Hodges Capital Management Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 351.7% in the 2nd quarter. Hodges Capital Management Inc. now owns 971,235 shares of the company’s stock valued at $10,101,000 after purchasing an additional 756,235 shares during the last quarter. Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC boosted its position in shares of Genius Sports by 4.1% in the 3rd quarter. Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC now owns 3,006,277 shares of the company’s stock valued at $36,316,000 after purchasing an additional 117,591 shares during the period. Stephens Investment Management Group LLC grew its stake in Genius Sports by 341.6% during the 3rd quarter. Stephens Investment Management Group LLC now owns 3,330,469 shares of the company’s stock worth $41,231,000 after buying an additional 2,576,329 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Peregrine Capital Management LLC acquired a new position in Genius Sports during the third quarter worth approximately $10,153,000. 81.91% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Key Headlines Impacting Genius Sports

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Strong underlying results and guidance — Genius posted meaningful revenue and EBITDA gains for 2025 (reported coverage cites ~31% revenue surge and a ~59% EBITDA jump) and issued FY?2026 revenue guidance slightly above Street consensus, supporting upside potential. Genius Sports (GENI) Stock Rallies on 31% Revenue Surge and 59% EBITDA Jump in 2025
• Positive Sentiment: Commercial wins/adtech deployments — New adtech deployments (e.g., Magnite, NBC Sports RSNs) expand monetization channels and support longer?term revenue growth and advertising yield. Genius Sports adds adtech deployments with Magnite, NBC Sports RSNs
• Neutral Sentiment: Analysts trimmed price targets but maintained bullish ratings — Needham cut its PT from $16 to $14 (buy), BTIG from $16 to $11 (buy) and Wells Fargo from $10 to $9 (overweight). Ratings are still constructive, but lower PTs temper near?term upside expectations. Analyst price target updates (Benzinga)
• Neutral Sentiment: Earnings materials and call transcripts are available for review — The company provided slide decks and the earnings call/transcript, which investors should review for commentary on Legend acquisition integration, margin trajectory, and advertising monetization. Genius Sports (GENI) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript (Yahoo)
• Negative Sentiment: EPS miss and market reaction — GENI reported an EPS loss (?$0.08) versus a consensus of $0.02, and the share reaction was negative despite the revenue beat; coverage notes the stock fell after the miss. Profitability metrics remain negative (net margin, return on equity), which keeps valuation under pressure. Genius Sports stock falls over 5% on earnings miss despite revenue beat

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.